Although the model in Prob. 28.18 works adequately when population growth is unlimited, it breaks down when factors such as food shortages, pollution, and lack of space inhibit growth. In such cases, the growth rate itself can be thought of as being inversely proportional to population. One model of this relationship is
G = G’ (pmax – p)
where G’ = a population-dependent growth rate (per people-year) and pmax = the maximum sustainable population. Thus, when population is small (p < pmax),=”” the=”” growth=”” rate=”” will=”” be=”” at=”” a=”” high=”” constant=”” rate=”” of=”” g’=”” pmax.=”” for=”” such=”” cases,=”” growth=”” is=”” unlimited=”” and=”” eq.=”” (p28.19)=”” is=”” essentially=”” identical=”” to=”” eq.=”” (p28.18).=”” however,=”” as=”” population=”” grows=”” (that=”” is,=”” p=”” approaches=”” pmax),=”” g=”” decreases=”” until=”” at=”” p=”pmax” it=”” is=”” zero.=”” thus,=”” the=”” model=”” predicts=”” that,=”” when=”” the=”” population=”” reaches=”” the=”” maximum=”” sustainable=”” level,=”” growth=”” is=”” nonexistent,=”” and=”” the=”” system=”” is=”” at=”” a=”” steady=”” state.=”” substituting=”” eq.=”” (p28.19)=”” into=”” eq.=”” (p28.18)=””>
dp/dt = G’(pmax – p)p
For the same island studied in Prob. 28 18, employ Heun’s method (without iteration) to predict the population at t =20 years, using a step size of 0.5 year. Employ values of G = 10-5 per people-year and pmax = 20,000 people. At time t = 0, the island has a population of 6000 people. Plot p versus t and interpret the shape of the curve.