Individual Country Risk Analysis Report As the table shown below, we will use the rating agency based methodology as a starting point for individual country risk analysis. The length for each country should be no less than 10 pages. The report is due by October 10th, 11:59 PM New York Time.
Country
Team Member
Chile
Federico
The table below listed the factors and variables as well as suggested data sources. Bloomberg is a useful way to integrate all the data together.
Factors
Variables
Data Source
Political Risk
Stability and legitimacy of political institutions
Popular participation in political processes
Orderliness of leadership succession
Transparency in economic policy decisions and objectives
Public security
Geopolitical risk
PRS Group
Income and Economic Structure
Prosperity, diversity, and degree to which economy is market-oriented
Income disparities
Effectiveness of financial sector in intermediating funds; availability of credit
Competitiveness and profitability of nonfinancial private sector
Efficiency of public sector
Protectionism and other nonmarket influences
Lab or flexibility
IMF/World Bank/EIU
Economic Growth Prospects
Size and composition of savings and investment
Rate and pattern of economic growth
IMF/World Bank
Fiscal Flexibility
General government revenue, expenditure, and surplus/deficit trends
Revenue-raising flexibility and efficiency
Expenditure effectiveness and pressures
Timeliness, coverage, and transparency in reporting
Pension obligations
IMF/World Bank
General Government Debt Burden
General government gross and net (of assets) debt as a percent of GDP
Share of revenue devoted to interest
Currency composition and maturity profile
Depth and breadth of local capital markets
IMF/World Bank
Offshore and Contingent Liabilities
Size and health of nonfinancial public-sector enterprises
Robustness of financial sector
IMF/World Bank
Monetary Stability
Price behavior in economic cycles
Money…