Reference table:
|
Activity |
Optimistic |
Most Likely |
Pessimistic |
predecessor |
|
A |
2 |
4 |
8 |
– |
|
B |
2 |
2 |
2 |
– |
|
C |
1 |
5 |
7 |
A |
|
D |
4 |
5 |
6 |
A |
|
E |
3 |
5 |
9 |
C,B |
|
F |
1 |
0 |
5 |
C, B |
|
G |
2 |
7 |
9 |
C, B |
1. Draw a AON Network with all features:
2. Calculate the Expected values for all activates, variances,
and the slack (float)
3. The Critical Path and the Expected completion time (TE)
4. The probability that the project will be completed in 22
days
5. The completion time corresponding to a 99% probability
Q 1. AON DIAGRAM
LEDGEND:
|
ES |
EF |
|
|
Activity, TE, Variance |
||
|
LS |
LF |
Q 2
|
Activity |
a |
m |
b |
TE |
Variance |
Slack (float) |
|
A |
2 |
4 |
8 |
|||
|
B |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|||
|
C |
1 |
5 |
7 |
|||
|
D |
4 |
5 |
6 |
|||
|
E |
3 |
5 |
9 |
|||
|
F |
1 |
0 |
5 |
|||
|
G |
2 |
7 |
9 |
Q 3 Critical Path
Q 4 PROBABILITY 22 DAYS
Q 5 COMPLETION TIME 99%





